关键洞察力

◉ 沙盒经历了大多数关键绩效指标的下降,如一级和二级销售量,而二级销售交易的数量有所增加。
◉ 由于沙盒团队及其合作伙伴选择推迟大多数NFT的推出,直到市场条件改善,因此第三季度暂停了新的LAND包裹矿机。
◉ 到目前为止,《沙盒》阿尔法第三季取得了重大成功,达到了创纪录的341,000名玩家,并在平均游戏时间和玩家参与度KPI方面取得了增长。
◉ 尽管整个数字资产的交易活动减少,但传统和加密原生品牌合作伙伴继续以类似于前几个季度的惊人速度入驻。


The Sandbox的入门知识

沙盒(TSB)是一个在虚拟世界中创造和主持娱乐体验的平台。在沙盒中,任何人都可以创建3D资产,如建筑、游戏中的物品和非玩家角色。然后,这些资产可以用来建立不同的体验,如游戏、音乐和时尚活动、社交活动、任务、艺术展览和竞赛。沙盒为创作者提供了一套直观的工具,既不需要编码的背景,也不需要设计经验。这些工具包括用于制作物品和动画的3D编辑器,用于制作体验的游戏制作器,以及游戏客户端。沙盒正在积极努力,使这些工具尽可能方便用户使用,以释放其社区的创造力。例如,3D编辑器结合了不同的游戏中的代币来创造用户生成的资产。

这些用户生成的资产是ERC-721非可替换代币,可以在公开市场上进行货币化。沙盒生态系统利用一系列的代币化游戏功能,包括。

◉ SAND – 一种用于购买、货币化和资产创建的游戏内数字货币
◉ 土地–沙盒虚拟世界中可拥有的数字土地
◉ 庄园 – 结合土地创建一个更大的地块
◉ 游戏 – 捆绑资产和脚本逻辑以创造互动体验。
◉ 资产 – 由玩家创建的3D虚拟形象
◉ GEMS – 燃烧的代币,为资产赋予属性
◉ CATALYSTS – 燃烧的代币用于创造资产。

由于这些用户生成的资产在其虚拟世界中的可交易性,沙盒具有强大的游戏经济性。

性能分析

地块分布

沙盒中的土地数量是有限的–166,464个地块。新的LAND地块通常是通过公开安排的造币活动(固定价格或英式拍卖)进行造币(初级销售),但也有向合作伙伴项目的私人销售。在这些拍卖会上,LAND通常以先到先得的方式出售。价格也根据稀有程度而变化(普通与高级),较大的ESTATE经常在OpenSea拍卖。然而,并不是所有的铸币都能立即销售。沙盒还将铸造土地,以便在以后的日子里向合作伙伴进行私人销售。

由于第三季度只铸造了165个LAND包,自上一季度以来,已分配的LAND包的比例只增加了最大LAND供应量的0.1%。截至第三季度,最大供应量的67.4%已被分发。在过去的一个季度里,由于面对最近的市场动荡,公共LAND的开采实际上已经暂停,开采的速度急剧放缓。随后,用户对数字资产的胃口下降–在更广泛的加密货币市场经历的一个现象–也产生了影响。

第三季度铸造的165个LAND包只与沙盒定期与加入生态系统的新伙伴品牌进行的私人销售有关。鉴于最近的市场波动,这种有意识地放缓LAND流通供应的增长是谨慎的,至少部分抵消了由更多规避风险的收藏家群体造成的一些负面价格压力。沙盒预计将在11月中旬/下旬通过一系列品牌合作伙伴的发布向公众发布新的LAND。关于这些铸币活动的更多细节还没有公布。

LAND初级销售

注意:如果不首先掌握交易规模、钱包地址或其他可识别特征的细节(通常不容易获得的信息),对私人销售、ESTATE销售和其他非标准销售数据的链上跟踪是有限的。沙盒团队提供了初级销售、特许权使用费、交易费和二级销售数据,以填补公开可用数据集的空白。

沙盒记录了22年第三季度165个地块的初级土地销售量为60万美元。这些销售完全归功于与最近加入生态系统的品牌合作伙伴进行的私人销售。对品牌合作伙伴的私人销售通常用于在沙盒内引导形成一个新的社区,该社区将由相关品牌合作伙伴建立和支持。在这些私人销售之后,通常会进行公开销售,以便在周边地区铸造和分配更多的土地地块。通过私人销售购买土地的一方通常在随后的公开造币活动宣布之前不会被披露。

在最近一个季度,60万美元的初级土地销售与第二季度的770万美元的销售相比急剧下降了93%,这也是自22年第一季度高峰以来的趋势的延续。这种下降至少部分归因于美元/沙特的平均兑换率环比下降了39%,沙特在本季度结束时为0.85美元,在整个第三季度平均为1.11美元。沙特的价格在21年第四季度达到顶峰,约为7.62美元,截至2022年9月30日,已经下跌了89%。

用LAND矿区作为LAND地块销售的不完美代表,最近一个季度的平均销售价格为每单位约3,344美元,比第二季度估计的平均销售价格2,156美元有所回升。然而,这种粗略的估计既没有考虑到地块的稀有性(正常与优质),也没有考虑到可能影响任何单个地块价格的其他定性变量(例如,位置)。

非土地一级销售

非土地主要销售是指在沙盒生态系统内销售和使用的其他NFT。该类别主要是指合作伙伴IP头像收藏、资产和用户生成的内容(UGC目前只在有限的范围内提供,不提供购买)。由于合作伙伴IP集合的合作性质,这些销售往往在规律和规模上更不稳定。

在第三季度,沙盒产生了100万美元的非土地主要销售额。这些销售中的大部分是通过特殊IP合作伙伴(通常是游戏中的头像NFT),由People of Crypto和Steve Aoki的Avatars和Metazo系列驱动。具体来说,特别IP收藏品的销售占~79万美元,而一般游戏内资产ET占剩余的~22万美元。这与第二季度获得的25.7万美元的非土地主要销售额相比非常有利,表明季度增长了293%。高增长说明了这些销售产生的不规则节奏。此外,起伏不定的销售可能表明,自第二季度高度动荡的几个月以来,市场已经有些稳定。

收入

沙盒的收入可分为三个主要类别。

◉ 通过公开拍卖或私人销售的土地和房产的初级销售。
◉ 通过特殊IP收藏、头像和游戏内资产NFT进行的非土地一级销售。
◉ 版税费和交易费分别产生于二级销售量和公共一级销售量,作为5%的佣金。沙盒基金会和沙盒公司平分这笔费用(各2.5%)。

从历史上看,一级土地和房产销售通常占总收入的65-95%。鉴于土地在二级市场上的大量交易,第二大收入贡献者历来来自于特许权使用费。交易费是一级销售的一个功能,通常只有在土地铸币量大的时候才会产生有意义的收入。在三个主要类别中,由于交易的不一致性,非土地一级销售往往是收入的最小贡献者,这些交易往往是非经常性的,并且取决于与沙盒合作的品牌合作伙伴。

第三季度的总收入为210万美元,环比下降78%。22年第三季度的主要销售仅产生20,700美元的交易费,环比下降73%。交易费收入的下降主要是由于第三季度公开兰德公司的铸币活动暂停,同时由于合作伙伴选择等待市场条件的改善,特别IP系列的推出也有所延迟。第三季度特许权使用费为50万美元,由于二级销售量下降了68%,因此环比明显下降了69%。与典型的趋势相反,非土地一级销售最终引领了第三季度的收入类别,有100万美元的销售额。

由于沙盒的所有收入和销售量都是以沙特为单位,美元/沙特的平均转换率贬值39%是上述收入数字的主要驱动因素。另一个主要驱动因素是市场参与者表现出的普遍规避风险的购买行为,这影响了所有风险资产,特别是那些更具投机性的类别,如数字资产。

二级销售量

尽管经历了68%的环比下降,但二级销售仍然是沙盒的美元交易量的主要贡献者,绝大多数来自兰德包裹交易。二次销售在2021年第四季度达到了2.83亿美元的峰值,此后连续三个季度回调了97%。鉴于2021年的快速增长,22年第三季度880万美元的交易量实际上是季度二级销售的首次环比下降,这是有记录的。在这个熊市的深处,兰德公司的销售让人感到困难的比较期。

美元成交量的环比下降完全是由LAND的平均售价驱动的,因为沙盒在第三季度的二手LAND销售交易数量实际上增加了47%。这种价格下降至少部分是由最近一个季度美元/沙特的平均转换率下降39%造成的,该转换率最低降至0.84美元/沙特,整个第三季度平均为1.11美元(第二季度平均为1.84美元)。

网络活动

第三季度,购买土地的独特钱包(”活跃土地买家”)数量继续下滑至1970个独特买家,环比下降42%。这是继上一季度的57%的环比下降后,22年第一季度记录的7805名活跃买家,远远低于21年第四季度高峰期记录的约15000个不同的钱包地址。由于土地所有者似乎已经为不断深化的熊市做好了准备,改变所有权的不同地块(”活跃土地ID”)的数量以更大的季度降幅达到61%。

正如我们在之前的报告中提到的,阿尔法季的参与者也可以作为网络活动的一个代理指标。阿尔法季3于8月24日开始,将开放至11月3日星期三。根据The Sandbox提供的游戏数据,到目前为止有341,000名玩家参加了第三季,比第二季增加了约16%,本季还剩一周。每个用户的平均游戏时间也从203分钟增加到382分钟,令人印象深刻,这与本季度的经验增加到90分钟,而Alpha第二季为35分钟。此外,在过去的三个赛季中,点对点的参与度已经上升,每个用户的聊天信息从AS1的2条增长到AS2的5条,最近在AS3达到每个用户29条。

定性分析

沙盒生态系统。值得注意的事件
合作关系、整合和投资

Source: The Sandbox

注:最近宣布的合作伙伴计划通过未来的土地拍卖来公布他们的位置,因此目前还没有反映在游戏地图上。

正如新的元气地图上所强调的那样,现在有了增强的1×1土地地块细节,沙盒合作伙伴社区的规模和多样性都在继续增长。鉴于最近市场的动荡,许多合作伙伴选择推迟推出他们的特殊IP NFT系列,直到情况稳定下来。然而,在整个第三季度,新的合作公告不断涌现。因此,有可能在未来推出的合作伙伴IP系列的名单已经增加。以下是欢迎加入沙盒社区的人。

游戏

◉ FaZe Worldby FaZe Clan(游戏化体验,与世界上最大的游戏组织之一接触)。
◉ Softstar Metapark by Softstar(展示由这个台湾标志性品牌开发的经典PC游戏IP的体验)。
◉ Animoca Brands的Metaprints和Forj的Monkeying Around体验。
◉ 雅达利公司在Alpha Season 3期间展示了两个独家体验(Sunnyvale和Crystal Castles)。

音乐

◉ deadmau5 “光之塔 “系列和Alpha S3的可玩体验。
◉ Steve Aoki “Metazoo” NFT系列和Aoki Avatars在Aokiverse Alpha Season 3体验中使用。
◉ The Sandbox在The Sandbox Alpha Season 3中推出了WMG LAND和Sueco的 “Split Personalities “体验。
◉ Avenged Sevenfold在Alpha Season 3中推出了他们在The Sandbox的第一个体验。

娱乐

◉ 为Alpha S3开发的 “关爱熊 “虚拟体验。
◉ 行尸走肉》NFT系列和Alpha S3中的多人生存游戏。
◉ 帕丽斯-希尔顿宣布为粉丝庆祝万圣节并在她的虚拟马里布大厦与她互动的体验。
◉ 花花公子的 “MetaMansion “数字游戏体验是基于Rabbitar社区。
◉ ITV工作室的《地狱厨房》(Hell’s Kitchen with Gordon Ramsay)在《沙盒》中开辟了第一个 “虚拟餐厅 “和厨师主题的游戏。

多样性和包容性

◉ Crypto Lab的人们首次亮相,成为元空间有史以来第一个多样性、公平和包容性的中心。
◉ Metaverse Pride是 “沙盒归属周 “的一部分,包含三个独特的体验。

时尚和生活方式

◉  ISART数字学校,是Alpha S3的NFT学院体验中的一个展览。
◉  托尼-霍克(Tony Hawk)和Autograph合作创建了有史以来最大的虚拟滑板公园,同时还有一个伴随着NFT的化身和滑板系列。
◉ ComplexLand 3.0由Complex Networks制作,是与The Sandbox的合作项目,它将专注于元宇宙中的街头服饰和运动鞋文化。

传统产业与基础设施

◉  Keb Hana银行将通过元宇宙中的虚拟分行提供银行服务,以满足下一代客户的需求。
◉  香港在沙盒中加入了Mega City文化中心,以一种新的互动方式与客户接触。
◉  雷诺韩国汽车公司提供数字汽车体验作为客户参与的新媒介。
◉  星展银行推出BetterWorld,展示这家新加坡银行的ESG原则并与客户互动。

沙盒公司向INDEX GAME投资170万美元

除了越来越多的品牌合作伙伴计划投资他们的资源在其元空间内进行建设,沙盒也在第三季度宣布了自己的一项投资。8月,位于香港的元空间机构INDEX GAME迎来了来自沙盒的170万美元投资。该协议包括一个选项,即沙盒可以在2023年之前将其投资增加到600万美元。

INDEX GAME于2021年推出,当时只是一个小型的独立游戏工作室,在过去的一年里,它通过开发各种游戏风格的内容扩大了范围,为虚拟世界增添了活力。这家元老级机构已经与超过15个品牌和IP合作,在沙盒内建立引人入胜的体验。随着越来越多的品牌和行业选择进入虚拟世界,INDEX GAME现在能够与沙盒更紧密地合作,更好地促进这些IP转化为沉浸式体验。

沙盒阿尔法第三季

Source: The Sandbox

8月24日,《沙盒》推出了备受期待的阿尔法第三季活动。第三期活动持续了10周,是迄今为止最长的一期活动。在这几周里,参与者可以在完成任务和提升头像等级的同时,获得90多个数字体验。与过去的赛季一样,有许多抽奖的机会,以及为那些寻求竞争的游戏提供的排行榜。事实上,排行榜已经通过实施Ethos点数进行了调整,玩家通过完成任务获得这些点数。一定数量的Ethos点数将被授予,这取决于挑战的难度和玩家与同行相比的表现。前5000名玩家将获得SAND代币,在赛季结束时(11月3日),第一名将获得高达30,000 SAND(25,000美元)的奖金。

沙盒和沙盒游戏制作基金将负责~37个可用的经验。然而,第三季的标志性特征之一是 “体验 “的巨大多样性,代表了传统和加密货币原生媒体和娱乐的知名品牌,包括。

◉ Snoop Dogg
◉ 行尸走肉
◉ deadmau5
◉ Sueco
◉ 华纳音乐集团
◉ 育碧的兔子
◉ 蓝精灵
◉ 史蒂夫-青木
◉ 爱心熊
◉ 雅达利
◉ BAYC
◉ 女人的世界
◉ 梅塔普里德

更令人耳目一新的是来自独立创作者的12个用户生成内容(UGC)体验,以及16个 “Game Jams “竞赛作品,它们将争夺SAND。

Source: The Sandbox

在第三季之外,沙盒正在围绕品牌和名人的宇宙准备多种体验,为他们的个人社区创造更多的沉浸式体验,并强调参与元宇宙的新方式。

此外,《沙盒》首次引入了 “可玩的外部头像”。这意味着一些最具代表性的NFT品牌已被整合到游戏中,成为体素化的头像,其所有者可以扮演他们。这些 “外部化身 “的首次亮相,以及对那些使用与沙盒紧密合作的化身进行游戏的人实施有保障的SAND奖励,只是TSB试图奖励他们最忠诚的加密货币本土玩家的一些方式。

资产发布现已开放

7月12日,沙盒宣布,所有用户现在可以发布他们使用游戏制作工具创建的资产。目前,这些定制体验只能通过Game Maker Gallery公开分享。然而,最终,这些资产作为NFT在沙盒市场上的铸币和销售也将被提供。这一推出代表了为LAND所有者开发增强型LAND功能的又一步骤。土地投机背后的核心投资理论是期望有一天土地所有者能够通过身临其境的游戏体验来实现其地块的货币化。

加强土地所有者的沙盘抵押选项

9月22日,《沙盒》为土地所有者推出了一个新的 “高年利率 “沙盘押注选项。在Polygon网络上的LAND所有者有资格在押注他们的SAND代币时获得更多的SAND奖励。这个项目在最初的12周里,每周将发放高达25万个SAND奖励,用户拥有的每个LAND地块能够以较高的年利率抵押500个SAND的上限。值得注意的是,沙盒团队开发了一个检测土地转让的工具,这意味着土地所有者不需要将他们的土地锁定在抵押合同中,就有资格获得更多的SAND奖励。因此,土地所有者将能够在保持对其数字资产的完全监护的同时,对他们的SAND进行抵押。

此次发布是沙盒继续寻求为土地所有者提供额外价值的方法,重点是奖励那些在熊市中选择留在生态系统中的忠实用户。虽然这个新的赌注选项是LAND所有者独有的,但所有TSB用户都可以通过现有的SAND赌注承包商通过SAND/Matic Pool提供的流动性赚取额外的SAND。各种可用的赌注选项显示在赌注仪表板上,可以在用户登录沙盒官方网站的个人资料页面时查看。

路线图
通过用户生成的内容加强与创造者经济的整合

目前,游戏中的 “用户生成内容”(UGC)在范围和可用性上是有限的,但随着《沙盒》的继续发展,我们计划逐步推出更多的功能。随着所有用户通过Game Maker工具创建资产的解锁,沙盒团队已经证明了其为土地所有者增加价值的承诺。这一解锁是朝着用户一直期待的方向迈出的一步。目前,UGC只能通过Game Maker Gallery分享,没有将这些游戏中的资产列到The Sandbox的市场上的选项。然而,沙盒团队已经转达了在2022年底前实现进一步功能的计划。

沙盒还与数字好莱坞合作,这是一所IT和数字内容方面的人力资源开发学校。这种合作关系被描述为一个在日本培训体素艺术家和游戏制作人的机会,使他们准备好在沙盒中创造内容。此举与关注 “创作者经济 “扩张的全球趋势相一致,这反映了Web3的许多相同原则。 沙盒的商业模式植根于数字产品从独立创作者到用户的自由流动,与这种全球向创作者授权的转变完全一致。

全面过渡到第2层

为了促进可持续的、更实惠的参与生态系统,以下功能预计将在未来一年内过渡到Polygon。

◉ 在Polygon上销售LAND(下一次公开造币活动将在Polygon上举行)
◉ 土地定投功能
◉ ASSET智能合约将被部署/桥接
◉ 将要部署的开放式ASSET铸币合约
◉ ESTATE的创建和修改
◉ 通过Polygon在LAND上发布的经验

总结

在第三季度,一股寒意席卷了加密货币游戏领域,因为加密货币的夏天变成了冬天–这是第二季度开始的趋势的延伸。用户数、销售额和一般交易活动都在下降,许多市场参与者进入 “冬眠 “状态。这些趋势中有许多影响了我们为沙盒追踪的关键绩效指标。然而,沙盒团队没有冬眠的计划。

虽然一些用户肯定已经离开了这个生态系统,但那些留下来的是加密货币的本地人。在这里,他们受到了最新的阿尔法季的款待,其重点是奖励沙盒最忠实的用户和NFT持有人。阿尔法第三季带来了迄今为止最多的内容。它还展示了沙盒的最大优势之一–有能力采购合作伙伴,并发展一个将传统和加密世界融为一体的社区。

即使现在,随着市场的冻结,新的合作伙伴已经选择在这个虚拟世界中投入时间和资源。对于许多品牌来说,沙盒将是他们进入 “元宇宙 “的第一次冒险。这是一个强大的声誉,将在未来几年为沙盒及其忠实用户带来红利。但与此同时,核心团队应继续专注于提供丰富的新体验,同时为最终将塑造其未来的创造者赋能。

 

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