"FTX旨在通过使用三层清算模型来降低这些回扣的可能性,以解决现时期货交易所存在的问题,将衍生品领域推向机构级。"

1. 摘要

FTX 是一家提供期货、杠杆代币和场外交易的加密货币衍生品交易所,旨在解决现时期货交易所存在的问题,并将衍生品领域推向机构级。

2. 基本介绍

简介:

FTX 是一家提供期货、杠杆代币和场外交易的加密货币衍生品交易所,为交易者提供一个设计精良、功能强大的平台和大量产品。
 
由于目前期货交易所的回扣非常频繁,风险管理系统设计不当,往往导致数百万美元的损失。因此,FTX旨在通过使用三层清算模型来降低这些回扣的可能性,以解决现时期货交易所存在的问题,并希望在未来几年内成为超越 BitMEX 和 OKEx 的领先交易所,将衍生品领域推向机构级。

团队:

FTX由 Sam Bankman-Fried 和 Gary Wang 创立。

Sam Bankman-Fried 是 FTX: Cryptocurrency Derivatives Exchange 的联合创始人兼首席执行官。他还是 Almeda Research 的首席执行官,并曾担任有效利他主义中心的发展总监。

Gary Wang 是 FTX: Cryptocurrency Derivatives Exchange 的联合创始人兼首席技术官。他还是 Almeda Research 的首席技术官。在此之前,他从 Google 的软件工程实习生晋升为软件工程师。他还是 Facebook 的软件工程师实习生。

FTX 平台背后的团队由曾在华尔街和 Facebook、谷歌、Jane Street、Optiver 和 Susquehanna等大型科技公司工作的资深人士组成。凭借在股票衍生品交易方面的多元化背景,FTT 代币创建者计划超越 Bitmex 和 OKEx,这两个是区块链世界中领先的加密衍生品交易所。

代币经济:

FTT币全称FTX Token,作为FTX的唯一通证,用于支持FTX整个生态系统。FTX 团队为FTT设计了激励机制,加强市场推广,形成网络效应,提高市场对FTT的需求,同时减少其流通供应。

代币供应

FTT币最大供应量是350,000,000FTT。目前1.75 亿  (31%) FTT 已分配给该公司,并将在三年内(2022 年 5 月)解锁;1.75 亿个非公司代币中的 1.05 亿个 FTT 仍未售出;

在平台代币FTT总量销毁减少至初始发行量一半以前,FTX平台上产生的所有手续费的三分之一将用于回购和销毁FTT。一部分FTXOTC上的交易返点也会用来回购和销毁FTT。

代币分配

31%: 创始人和项目 ;69%: 投资者

其中:

5% 用于保险基金保险;

5% 安全基金;

20% FTT 流动性;

20% 给 FTT 员工;

5% 给顾问;

25% 添加到公司分配中;

10% 生态基金;

和 10% 的用户获取。

目前支持的钱包有:imToken、MetaMask、Coinbase Wallet、AToken、币信。

FTT 代币销售和发布时间表

锁定的 FTT 代币将根据以下时间表自动解锁为 FTT:

FTX代币赋能:

FTX 的杠杆代币属于 ERC20 链上,虽然底层绑定合约价格,但代币却是独立的,因此可以把杠杆代币提出到以太坊钱包,甚至转出到其他有对应杠杆代币的交易所,像是 http://gate.io , Gopax, BitMax 上进行交易。

FTT的应用场景包括: 

  1.   代币销毁/收入份额: FTX 产生的所有费用的大约三分之一将用于 FTT 回购
  2. 交易费用折扣: FTT 代币也将用于减少交易活动的费用。
  3. 抵押品: FTT 代币可用作期货头寸的抵押品。这增加了 FTT 的需求和效用。
  4. 社会化收益:大市场变动期间的一部分收益将在 FTT 持有者之间进行社会化。
  5. 杠杆代币上市费用:项目可以在创建杠杆代币时使用 FTT 支付上市费用。
  6. 白标解决方案:加密机构在购买 FTX 的 OTC 门户和期货交易所的白标版本时,将不得不支付 FTT 的费用。
  7. 未来扩展: FTT 是 FTX 生态系统的支柱。一旦我们将其他衍生产品添加到平台,它将变得更加有用,使该代币成为 FTX 交易所日常交易的重要组成部分。
  8. 质押:用户可以质押他们的 FTT 以获得各种好处,例如标记费回扣、奖励选票和免除区块链费用。Unstaking FTT 需要 14 天,不会贡献任何 Staking 奖励。

3. 当前状态(2021年 10月 04日星期一)

量化指标:

虚拟货币代码 FTX  Token (FTT)  ERC-20
现价(美金) $ 55.12
流通市值(美金) 6,656,413,810.78

完全稀释后市值(美金)
$ 19,443,008,985
流通量(FTT的数目) 120,546,132
总流通量 336,416,468
最大供应量 352,170,015
历史最高价格 $ 85.02
24H 成交量(美金) 438,569,070

4. FTX的特点

FTX 交易平台旨在通过采用三层清算策略来减少许多衍生品交易所发生的社会化损失,从而最大限度地减少回扣的可能性。

FTX 使用类似于当今成熟的传统期货市场的系统,而不是在多个账户和代币中发布抵押品,交易者以单一货币发布抵押品。

  1. 杠杆代币

目前,在许多现货交易所没有做空或建立杠杆头寸的方法。交易者必须在 Bitfinex、Okex 和 Bitmex 等保证金或期货交易所进行交易。这对于零售交易者来说可能更加复杂,因为他们需要处理融资利率、借贷成本,并且必须不断监控他们的头寸以避免被追加保证金。不仅如此,交易者还面临着损失大量资金的风险。

杠杆代币允许交易者持有空头或杠杆头寸,而无需在保证金或期货交易所进行交易。假设交易者想要做空比特币的 3 倍。他们可以简单地在 FTX 上购买 3 倍的空头比特币杠杆代币。这个过程就像在现货交易所购买 BTC 或 ETH 一样简单。我们为 BTC、ETH、XRP、EOS、USDT、BNB、TRX、LEO 和 BCH 提供 3x、-1x 和 -3x 杠杆代币,并希望在未来增加更多。使用这些代币,交易者可以以更高效的方式使用杠杆代币,无需将他们的任何资产存储在保证金钱包中。

杠杆代币是 ERC20,这意味着它们也可以在其他现货交易所上市。这使现货交易所能够向客户提供反向价格行为和杠杆头寸,而无需实施自己的保证金交易和清算引擎。

  2. 通用稳定币和中心化抵押池

在许多期货交易所,抵押品分散在几个不同的代币和保证金钱包中,这使得交易者更难重新平衡和避免清算持有的资产。因此需要一个集中的抵押池和通用的稳定币结算。FTX 衍生品以稳定币结算,只需要一个通用保证金钱包即可解决这些问题。

FTX在一个通用保证金钱包中共享抵押品。这意味着交易者可以存入稳定币作为所有衍生产品的抵押品,他们的盈亏以稳定币结算。稳定币允许交易者获得合法的基于美元的价格敞口和结算,而无需银行账户。使用相同的基础货币作为所有合约的抵押品也可以更容易地转移头寸。

 3. 回拨预防

对于那些熟悉衍生品交易的人来说,社会化的损失很难处理。 交易所提供保证金交易,让您获得天文数字的收益,反之,则是毁灭性的损失。当账户超出破产范围时,就会引发社会化损失、回扣和自动去杠杆化。如果用户持有有抵押的期货头寸,并且市场对他们的账户不利,以至于他们的资产净值为负,则损失必须由某人来承担。虽然交易所通常通过清算用户账户来保护这些损失,但有时,用户会承担非常大的保证金,交易所在亏损时将无法弥补。 为了弥补他们的损失,交易所将损失分配给其他交易者,从范围广泛的人那里剥头皮,直到其损失平衡。 FTX 旨在改变这一点。 他们开发了一个真正创新的三层清算系统,只在“最坏的情况”下才采取收回措施。

FTX交易平台机制是任何人都难以复制的,这使其成为区块链世界中独一无二的资产。

5. FTX的优势

  1. 流动性

  FTX 流动性很强。FTX比其他加密货币期货交易所更具流动性;只有 BitMEX BTC 永续期货比 FTX 更具流动性。这真的很难复制。没有新的交易所能够做到这一点,而 5 年左右的交易所只能通过一份合同成功地做到这一点。

  2. 新产品开拓

  FTX是第一家提供 USDT 期货的交易所。鉴于 Tether 的历史波动性,有许多大型加密货币公司迫切需要某种方法来对冲 USDT deltas。我们估计每天有 2 亿美元的 USDT 对冲需求,现在基本上别无选择。

  考虑到 USDT 过去的波动性,许多主要的加密业务需要对冲 USDT deltas 的方法,而 USDT 期货将为FTX提供该功能。我们预见许多当前的期货交易所最终会转向稳定币结算设计。使用稳定币作为抵押极大地简化了用户体验,同时也大大降低了保证金要求和交易成本。

  3. 强大的声誉和网络

  Alamed在加密二级市场中扮演着不可或缺的角色。正因为如此,Alameda 与现有的交易平台和交易所(Binance、Okex、Huobi、Circle、Trust Token 等)有着非常牢固的关系,并且可以利用这一点建立有价值的合作伙伴关系。它已经获得了多家大型加密机构和交易所的合作优惠。

  4. 快速开发周期

  FTX 可以利用 Alameda 的技术团队—— 一个经验丰富、久经考验的团队,用于在时间压力下构建复杂的加密交易系统。这意味着FTX的开发周期比别人短得多;FTX每天可以推出多个大型功能。

  5. 非倒挂期货

  FTX 期货是标准的,而不是倒置的。这意味着它们是真正的 BTC/USD 期货,而不是 USD/BTC 期货。因此,用户的美元盈亏只是(BTC 合约数量)*(价格变化),订单簿直接显示了多个 BTC 期货,而平仓仅意味着卖出您拥有的 BTC 合约数量。

  6. 场外交易门户

  FTX 有一个嵌入式 OTC 门户,由 Alameda Research 提供支持。用户可以通过单击按钮来买卖硬币,免费访问 Alameda 的深度流动性池。用户每天在 OTC 门户上的交易额已经超过 3000 万美元。

  7. 团队背景

  FTX拥有一支优秀的团队和清晰的商业计划,列出了它想要解决的问题以及如何解决这些问题。而且,与许多加密货币不同,它有一个简单的用例。

  8. 投资机构

  FTX 得到了 Alameda Research 的支持,Alameda Research 是一家资产规模约 1 亿美元的量化加密货币交易公司。一年之内,Alameda Research 成为该领域最大的流动性提供者和做市商。 Alameda 每天的交易额为 6 亿至 10 亿美元,约占全球交易量的 5%,在 BitMEX 排行榜上排名第二。

 9. 市场潜力

  衍生品市场有巨大的未开发潜力,FTX有巨大的上升潜力,有能力进入拥挤的市场、打破现状并成为主导者之一。FTX创新、执行和快速发展的这些品质帮助FTX在竞争中领先一步。衍生品市场有巨大的未开发潜力。

6. 风险评估

长期投资重要的是购买基本面稳固且随着时间的推移可能表现良好的代币,作为一家交易所,FTX定位于长期表现良好,这对 FTT 来说是个好兆头。

  1)交易监管

最近的 LedgerX 交易可以帮助增加 FTX.US 的产品供应,并将其与美国更成熟的加密货币交易所区分开来。目前,FTX 在国际上很强大,但由于其产品供应受到限制,其在美国的客户群有限。

然而,随着美国当局考虑如何最好地加强加密货币交易监管,很有可能所有形式的衍生品交易都会受到关注。Bankman-Fried 认为合规性很重要,并认为加密货币交易所需要与监管机构合作,而不是反对他们。

另一个问题是 FTT在美国并不容易买到。事实上,根据 FTX 的网站,美国居民“不允许在 FTT 中进行交易”。虽然可以从去中心化交易所购买 FTT,但交易未经授权的代币确实会带来额外的风险。

如果您是国际 FTX 客户,拥有 FTT 有几个好处,从降低费用到有机会从您的持股中赚取利息。如果您不是 FTX 客户并且将 FTT 视为一项投资,那么监管变化是代币的最大威胁。

在美国和世界各地对加密衍生品进行更强有力的控制可能会阻碍 FTX 在美国市场获得更大立足点并影响其国际业务的计划。然而,如果 FTX 设法与监管机构合作——正如公司所说的那样——价格可能会进一步上涨。

7.  FTT未来展望和价格预测

FTX 代币 (FTT) 充分利用了加密货币市场的持续看涨势头,并飙升至 85.02 美元的历史新高。

根据几位加密分析师的说法,价格的大幅上涨是由于公众曝光率的增加以及 FTX 平台发布的合作伙伴关系和协议发布。FTX US 宣布收购 LedgerX,以在加密衍生品市场进一步发展。FTX成为美国职业棒球大联盟的官方加密货币交易所赞助商,并宣布在其平台上上市Star Atlas。

短期利好因素

美国职业棒球大联盟拥有 30 个俱乐部,2021 年价值超过22 亿美元。总体而言,价值超过660亿美元。FTX 与美国职业棒球大联盟签署了一份五年协议,并成为第一个认可美国职业棒球大联盟 (MLB) 的加密货币交易所。从今年的 MLB 全明星赛开始,长期的合作伙伴关系将使公司的标志出现在所有比赛的裁判球衣上,使 FTX 成为北美棒球联盟的官方加密货币交换品牌。这将极大地推动 FTT 代币和 FTX 交易平台的发展,因为 MLB 的观众人数在 2021 年 7 月达到8,311,000 人,并且计划在未来几个月内增加。

投资 FTX 的一个重要原因可能是其创建者过去的成功,其中包括Alameda Research,这是一个价值超过 1 亿美元的加密货币交易平台,管理着超过 7000 万美元的数字资产,每天的交易额约为10 亿美元。FTX 交易平台的创建者还创建了 OTC RFQ 系统,该系统每天的交易量达到 3000 万美元。FTX 平台取得的巨大成功和日益流行的记录对加密货币世界的主要鲸鱼来说是一个巨大的吸引力,对于 FTT 持有者来说可能甚至是更好的消息。

长期利好因素

FTX 是一个交易平台,这意味着想要投资任何主要加密货币的加密货币用户最终会在某个时间点了解或尝试该平台。这为 FTT 持有者提供了一个主要优势,因为他们可以预期代币的价格会随着更多用户加入平台并每天将其用作交易平台而飙升。

预计 FTX 交易量

场外交易

Alameda Research 通过其 RFQ 门户进行约 3000 万美元/天的场外交易。我们最近将该门户网站集成到 FTX 中,以便我们所有的交易对手都能自动访问 FTX 期货市场。我们的交易对手每天交易数亿美元的期货,因此我们乐观地认为我们将能够通过我们的对手产生至少 5000 万美元/天的 FTX 交易量。

加密交易公司

FTX 提供了大量加密货币交易者一直要求的许多功能:稳定币结算、投资组合保证金以及对冲 USDT 风险的方法。

杠杆代币

我们一直在与现货加密货币交易所讨论有关上架杠杆代币的问题。我们相信至少有一些会在接下来的一两个月内上架杠杆代币,让他们的用户可以轻松访问 FTX 的期货。我们相信这将获得至少 1000 万美元/天的 FTX 交易量。

场外交易增长

我们正在就我们的场外交易与越来越多的公司联系,并将他们加入 FTX 门户。我们希望在未来几个月内将我们的 OTC 交易量翻一番,并通过新客户同样增加 2500 万美元/天的 FTX 交易量。

因此,我们乐观地认为 2.5 亿美元/天的交易量代表了交易所的底线,而 5b 美元/天的可能性确实存在。我们还乐观地认为,FTX 交易量的初始增长将迅速鼓励大多数交易量最大的期货交易者加入该平台。

8. FTX竞争者比较

  FTX Binance
交易费用 1. 不收取任何存款和取款费用
2. 期货结算不收取任何费用
3. 交易所对杠杆代币收取 0.03% 的每日管理费和 0.10% 的创建和赎回费
1. 固定的费用结构
2. 每笔交易的标准费用为 0.1%
3. 使用币安币 (BNB) 支付交易费用来免除该费用
预计年收入(美金) $85M $178.9M
最新被烧毁的代币 130,980FTT; Est. $6.4M 1,296,728 BNB; Est. $390M
销毁机制 在平台代币FTT总量销毁减少至初始发行量一半以前,FTX平台上产生的所有手续费的三分之一将用于回购和销毁FTT。 用 20% 的利润,买回 BNB 并销毁,直到销毁一亿个 BNB(占比例 50%)
存款 免费 免费
提款费用 免费
0.0000058 BTC
融资利率
(过去 30 天的平均融资利)
融资率较低
 
FTX 0.013%
 
头寸规模x(期货合约的TWAP-指数的TWAP)/24
BTC 0.028%
 
溢价指数+钳位(利率-溢价指数)

9. 总结

到目前为止,FTX 已获得来自各种加密机构的独家合作伙伴关系和收购兴趣,因为相信随着时间的推移,FTX有很大的创新和发展空间,我们坚信FTX 有能力取得成功。

1,801 thoughts on “加密货币衍生品交易所的独角兽 — FTX 深度分析报告”
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