加密货币投资可以是一种分散投资的好方法,但弄清楚哪种加密货币适合,哪种不适合,可能是一种挑战。为了做出一个明智的投资决定,了解如何分析加密货币是很重要的。
关键要领
◉ 由于加密货币的波动性,投资加密货币需要了解其优点和缺点。
◉ 在选择加密货币时,投资者应该了解谁在建设这个项目,以及它的愿景是什么。
◉ 了解投资的基本知识和加密货币的运作方式可以让人有更好的想法。
1. 审查白皮书
大多数加密货币项目提供白皮书,这有助于确定加密货币的目标和技术细节。虽然一些白皮书可能包含一些休闲投资者无法理解的技术术语,但通读白皮书以了解项目的愿景是很重要的。
白皮书应明确定义项目的目标,他们的技术将如何实现这些目标,以及加密货币将如何运作。大多数白皮书定义了一个随着货币本身的出现而被解决的问题,而这个问题和解决方案对投资者来说应该是非常清楚的。
任何加密货币项目的一个红旗就是白皮书中充满了通用的承诺,没有任何细节。
2. 研究团队
加密货币通常是由创始人和软件开发人员组成的团队创建的,他们帮助创建问题的解决方案。为了更好地了解一个项目的表现,你应该研究运行该项目团队的专业经验。
这可能包括审查LinkedIn个人资料,以了解任何技术或领导人员的专业背景,以及了解团队成员以前启动的项目。此外,任何加密货币网站上的 “关于 “页面应该清楚地说明谁在帮助建立该项目,以及他们的专业知识是什么。
一个由匿名创始人或开发人员组成的团队,不公开透露他们的身份,或者一个没有经验的团队,在过去没有建立或扩大任何项目,这将是一个红旗。这个规则的一个例外是比特币的匿名创始人中本聪。
3. 了解领导层的情况
大多数加密货币项目都有一个明确的执行团队,处理公司的愿景、执行、财务和营销。了解更多关于谁在领导一个加密货币团队的信息,可以深入了解一个项目的成功概率。
以下是研究加密货币公司的领导层时要问的几个问题。
◉ 他们是否有成功担任领导职务的历史?
◉ 他们是有信誉的/知名的领导人吗?
◉ 他们在加密货币行业是否有历史?是好是坏?
◉ 他们是面向公众的还是匿名的?
虽然有一些匿名创始人的项目取得了成功,如Bored Ape Yacht Club,但也有一些项目存在欺诈行为,破坏了一个项目,如Wonderland。
在投资任何加密货币之前,要了解领导团队的情况。
4. 了解社区
加密货币是一种社区驱动的技术,通常需要一个强大的、支持性的社区来发展。了解某个加密货币的社区,可以帮助你衡量一个项目是否会成功,或者它是否纯粹是炒作和投机。
加入社区的Discord或Telegram频道,可以帮助你更多地了解某个加密货币的社区,以及获得关于项目本身的问题的答案。如果有一个庞大的社区基础,组织良好并经常宣传该项目,这可能是一个不断增长的加密货币的标志。如果在任何社区平台上都有稀疏的参与,没有实质性的讨论,这就是一个红旗。
5. 理解技术
加密货币是一种新型技术,旨在改善金融服务,以及解决金融问题。加密货币项目是建立在区块链技术上的,但它们的运作方式有许多创新和差异。
了解该技术如何用于解决客户问题,以及创新将如何帮助增长采用,将使人们深入了解一种加密货币的潜在增长。虽然一些技术方面可能过于复杂,难以掌握,但加密货币白皮书或网站应该能够用通俗易懂的语言解释解决方案。
6. 理解愿景
加密货币应该有一个清晰的愿景,即他们要完成什么目标,有一个既定的路线图,说明他们将如何达到这个目标。这应该在加密货币白皮书以及公司网站上随时可以看到。加密项目的愿景应该提供足够的细节,让投资者了解他们正在解决什么问题,以及他们解决方案的潜在用户群。
如果一个公司的网站陈述了简单的公理,如 “加密货币是未来”,但不能定义或阐明加密货币如何解决具体用户问题的清晰愿景,这是一个红旗。
7. 审查路线图
加密货币的公司路线图是一个事件的时间线,显示项目的预期进展。路线图通常显示在一个折线图上,应该有明确和简洁的里程碑,以季度为基础进行细分,所有的项目都朝着预定的目标前进。
路线图可以在白皮书中找到,尽管大多数加密货币项目的时间线是不断变化的,并在公司网站上列出。如果没有确定的路线图,或者里程碑过于笼统,这就是一个红旗。
8. 研究信誉
有数以万计的加密货币,不幸的是,其中一些是骗局,旨在让创始人(和早期投资者)致富。研究一个加密货币的团队和领导层的声誉可以帮助投资者了解该加密货币项目是否有信誉。
有几个地方可以了解一个加密货币项目的声誉,从Reddit论坛到Discord频道和社交媒体账户。在这些在线社区询问,以了解项目主要领导人的行业声誉,以及对该项目的看法。如果有很多关于某个关键领导成员或整个项目的负面回应,这可能是一个红旗。
信誉也可以通过研究谁在支持一个项目来建立。如果有著名的投资者已经加入,并有机构支持,该项目可能有更大的成功机会。
9. 学习代币经济学
术语 “tokenomics “指的是特定加密货币的分布、流通和总供应量。这很重要,因为它随着时间的推移会影响到加密货币的整体价格。与上市公司的股票类似,特定加密货币的价格是供需关系的反映。
股票越多,就需要有更多的需求来提高价格。
这里有三个重要的数据点,在投资任何加密货币之前要进行审查。
◉ 流通的供应。这是目前市场上的加密货币的供应量,也是当前价格的基础。
◉ 总供应量。这是在所有代币被解锁和分配后,一个特定加密货币的总供应量。
◉ 最大供应量。许多加密货币允许铸造新的代币,而最大供应量是将被铸造的代币的最大数量。
所有这三个统计数据都会极大地影响特定加密货币的价格,因此了解供应量对加密货币投资者非常重要。
加密货币项目也因代币分配不均而臭名昭著,这意味着代币供应在推出时很低,然后随着时间的推移大幅增加。这可能会导致价格大幅下降,因为新的代币要涌入市场。审查代币解锁时间表可以帮助投资者了解代币将如何分配,以及分配给谁。
10. 审查价格数据
众所周知,加密货币价格会疯狂地上下波动,但造成这种情况的因素很多。代币供应,营销努力,项目里程碑,以及许多其他因素都会极大地影响特定加密货币的价格。
回顾一种加密货币的价格历史,可以帮助投资者看到对项目的兴趣随着时间的推移是如何演变的。它还可以表明一个特定的加密货币项目是在增长还是在消亡。如果一种加密货币的价格大幅飙升,但在未来几个月和几年内从未恢复,这可能是投资者的一个红旗。市值和交易量的情况也是如此。如果加密货币存在的时间越长,市值持续下降,而且没有交易量,那么该项目可能是一项糟糕的投资。
什么是加密货币?
加密货币是数字货币,不受银行等任何中央机构的控制或支持。相反,交易和所有权数据是通过分布式账本技术(如区块链)存储的。
投资加密货币是否安全?
投资加密货币是一种投机性投资,虽然投资加密货币不一定会被认为是一种 “安全投资”,但它可以成为投资组合多样化的可行选择。加密货币可以是更大的投资组合中较小的一部分,其特点是风险资产的波动性比大多数投资要大。
流行的加密货币有哪些?
市场上有许多流行的加密货币,但衡量某种加密货币受欢迎程度的最简单方法是市值。这是根据当前价格和流通中的未偿还代币总量来衡量加密货币的总价值。以下是一些流行的加密货币,按市值排名(截至2022年9月)。
- 1. 比特币(BTC)
- 2. 以太坊(ETH)
- 3. Tether (USDT)
- 4. 美元币(USDC)
- 5. BNB (BNB)
- 6. Binance USD (BUSD)
- 7. Cardano (ADA)
- 8. XRP (XRP)
- 9. Solana (SOL)
- 10. Polkadot (DOT)
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