重要见解
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自 2017 年上线以来，CryptoPunks V2 已经积累了 29 亿美元的交易量。
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该系列非常模仿实物奢侈品的相同特征——即爱马仕包。
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随着更广泛的 NFT 市场暴跌，CryptoPunks 以 ETH 计价保持稳定的底价。
到目前为止，NFT 交易量和用户在 2020 年周期中的所有类别都呈爆炸式增长也就不足为奇了。从 2021 年 1 月到 2022 年 1 月，OpenSea 的交易量从 3200 万美元增加到 150 亿美元。自 2017 年 6 月推出以来，仅以太坊上的首批 NFT 收藏品之一CryptoPunks就完成了 29 亿美元的交易量。
大量的头像（PFP）项目紧随朋克之后，并出现了许多衍生品，例如无聊猿游艇俱乐部、ClayPunks 和 SolPunks。CryptoPunks 作为数字奢侈品具有更好的金融化潜力，因为它的稀缺性、受欢迎程度和年龄比大多数其他收藏品都要好。
在当前的熊市中，所有链和市场的 NFT 交易量都在下降，但奇怪的是，CryptoPunks 在当前 NFT 低迷市场中一直保持稳定的底价并保持其受欢迎程度。
朋克的历史
朋克受到伦敦朋克和赛博朋克运动的启发，这在像素化头像的设计中很明显。最初，9,000 个 V1 Punk 基本上是免费赠送的，因为汽油费可以忽略不计，而团队只保留了 1,000 个。但是，由于合同中的单行错误，Punk 的新购买者能够撤回他们支付给合同的费用，而不是卖方。一旦发现错误，该团队重新启动了 Punks V2，也就是我们今天所熟悉的 CryptoPunks。
Punks V1仍在流通，但除了修改智能合约外，ERC-20 代币被包装为 ERC-721 以使其不可替代。尽管发生了这些变化，V1 Punks 的销量仅达到了 7400 万美元，只是 V2 Punks 销量的一小部分。
在 NFT 复兴的焦点上，Punks受到了很多关注，包括来自鲸鱼、名人和传统金融的关注。Larva Labs 从这个系列中获利丰厚，直到 2022 年 3 月，它把 Punks IP 卖给了 Yuga Labs，并赋予所有 Punks 所有者商业权利。
CryptoPunks V2：首映 NFT 合集
与传统资产一样，关键事件可以在短期内显着推高价格。这些事件本质上表明了对潜在买家的信任，即一个系列在长期内是可持续的。
CryptoPunks 最近的一些关键事件包括：
- 2021 年 10 月，Punk #9998引发了 5.32 亿美元销售的警报，最终成为一笔闪电贷。
- 2021 年 12 月，CryptoPunk #4156以 1030 万美元的价格售出，然后在 2 月以 770 万美元的价格转售。
- 同样在 2 月， Deepak Thapliyal以 2370 万美元的价格出售了CryptoPunk #5822 。
- 6 月底，曾担任佳士得数字销售主管并领导 Beeple 拍卖的诺亚戴维斯离开加入 Yuga Labs，专门专注于朋克系列。底价在公告发布前 24 小时达到顶峰，引发了围绕内幕交易的猜测。
- 7 月 15 日，来自 1confirmation 的 Nick Tomaino以 330 万美元的价格购买了 Punk #4156 。
除了戴维斯退出导致朋克的 ETH 平均价格创下历史新高（ATH）的异常值之外，底价一直保持相当稳定。当然，地板确实因稀有特性而异。集合中的底价由具有共同特征的 NFT 组成。
根据Nansen 的一份报告，NFT 市场与加密货币市场呈负相关。当 ETH 的 ATH 达到 4,700 美元左右时，朋克底价是 69 ETH。当 ETH 在 7 月 1 日跌至低点时，Punk floor 反弹至 69 ETH 左右。尽管 BAYC 的下限一直在增加，但 Punks 在上个月的几次下跌之后，在 ETH 方面保持了稳定的下限。
朋克如何被重视？
稀缺性、年龄、文化和受欢迎程度显着影响 NFT 的基值。实物收藏品经常因其新颖性和稀缺性而具有重要的评估价值，这通常与收藏品价值会升值的信念联系在一起。这同样适用于数字稀缺商品。特性越稀有，大部分朋克越稀有，即外星人和猿人特性更令人垂涎，因为分别只有 9 个和 24 个存在。
来源：rarity.tools
CryptoPunks 拥有强大的历史、社区和文化支持。例如，围绕个人朋克出现了许多拥有大量追随者的 Twitter 帐户。这些账户不仅对 NFT 文化而且对广泛的互联网文化都是积极的。随着时间的推移，收藏品只会变得更有价值，更受追捧，就像我们在传统艺术中看到的图案一样。
CryptoPunks 的金融化
NFT 在大多数情况下是非流动资产。在过去的几个月里，许多项目通过借贷和流动性促进了NFT 的金融化。NFTx就是一个这样的平台，它通过让用户存入他们的 NFT 以换取 vToken 来工作。例如，朋克存款将收到一个 PUNK 代币。然后可以将 PUNK 代币存入流动资金池以赚取 NFTx 协议费用或 SushiSwap 交易费用。或者，可以使用 vToken 购买保险库中的其他物品。目前，金库中有 142 个朋克，TVL 为 1250 万美元，流动性年利率为 4.5%。尽管锁定在 NFTx 保险库中的数量有所减少，但这些保险库中的价值却在继续增加。
贷款和 NFT 支持的贷款协议已经出现。在P2P 贷款市场NFTfi上，借款人以 101 个朋克作为抵押品，以 10% 的年利率获得 800 万美元的贷款。NFTfi 等产品允许 NFT 持有者通过贷款和产生利息来释放资金，而不必出售资产以获得流动性。
熊市放缓
在大多数情况下，NFT 收藏品在炒作和 FOMO 的推动下被高估，但市场会自行纠正。尽管修正可能只是加密周期性市场的一个特征，但新的 NFT 用户继续加入到生态系统中。\
随着更好的评估解决方案的推出，NFT 正在走向仅靠投机来降低价格。尽管 Punks 在 NFT 市场上处于领先地位，但该项目在 2020 年之前的数量很少。Bored Ape Yacht Club 紧随其后，成为第二大收藏品，迄今为止已达到 21 亿美元。Punks 的先发优势可能很小，但 NFT 用户市场在其首次推出时并不存在。现在正在出现新的买家，还有其他项目有可能达到 CryptoPunks 的数量和可信度。
结论
CryptoPunks 已经取得了成功，即使没有增加 DAO、代币或积极的社区倡议的热情。与整个 NFT 市场不同，Punks 一直保持稳定的价格，使其成为在动荡环境中的安全投资。
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