关键见解
◉ 在第三季度，随着网络功能的进步，BNB Chain的采用任务继续进行。
◉ 用户活动恢复到长期平均水平并趋于稳定，这表明该网络可能正在达到一个基础用户群。
◉ 通过战略投资、流动赌注解决方案和基于Binance账户（BAB）代币的激励措施，继续努力扩大生态系统。
◉ 随着Soulbound代币（SBT）的使用和生态系统资金的部署，BNB Chain在NFT和GameFi领域的地位应继续加强。
◉ 随着网络激励活跃验证者的增长，并促进更多的股权分配，预计去中心化将继续缓慢改善。
◉ 随着网络继续向更大的去中心化迈进，网络的表现也可能受到压力。
关于BNB Chain的初步介绍
BNB Chain是一个公共的、开源的区块链，旨在为去中心化应用提供可扩展的智能合约支持。它试图通过模块化设计和扩展解决方案来实现这一目标。BNB Chain由一个多链框架组成–BNB Smart Chain、Beacon Chain、BNB Sidechain和BNB ZkRollup。
Beacon Chain是用于治理（钉子和投票）的专用层，而BNB Smart Chain是用于以太坊虚拟机（EVM）共识和执行的专用层。BNB智能链是基于Staked-Authority证明（PoSA）机制，由一个不断增长的活跃验证者网络提供动力。BNB侧链框架是最近的一项开发工作，旨在创建与BNB智能链兼容的侧链。计划还包括推出用于高性能扩展的zk-rollups，允许侧链定制解决方案。
第三季度的情况介绍
在第二季度，尽管宏观经济形势不利，BNB Chain仍然专注于将用户、项目和开发者与社区联系起来。该方法包括执行增长战略，以刺激GameFi、SocialFi和Metaverse领域内的大规模应用。因此，BNB连锁NFT部门经历了一个突破性的季度，而GameFi产生了初步的牵引力。第二季度还包括实施类似于第2层的扩展解决方案和一系列网络升级的计划，以提高网络功能，并无条件地增加验证器集。在第二季度末，预计NFT、GameFi和技术实施将在第三季度继续。
这些预期在第三季度得到了满足。特拉崩盘和熊市的后果突出了网络的基础用户群和推进其战略的能力。BNB Chain的采用使命保持不变，这体现在通过战略投资、流动赌注解决方案和基于Binance账户（BAB）代币的激励措施扩大生态系统。BNB Chain继续推进其网络功能，推出了zkBNB测试网和一系列后续网络升级，如Gibbs升级和Godel Hardfork。除了加强功能外，这些升级导致了BNB智能链上的押注和更广泛的验证器集。作为BNB Chain 2022年第二季度报告的后续，本报告将深入探讨本季度的量化表现，以及BNB Chain正在继续执行其路线图并在不利的市场条件下取得进展的定性证据。
*随后发生的事件，如最近的BSC Token Hub漏洞，将在BNB Chain 2022年第四季度报告中介绍。
性能分析
网络和财务概况
以日均活跃地址、新的独立地址和日交易量衡量的用户活动，与上季度持平至下降。尽管用户活动下降，但财务表现好坏参半。平均交易费用下降，这有助于减少创收，而市值（即网络价值）在本季度有所增加。
由于BNB代币的烧毁机制，BNB的流通供应继续下降。截至9月底，自2017年烧毁计划开始以来，已经烧毁了超过3800万个BNB。
每日活跃地址继续逆转。虽然处于环比下降趋势，但与去年相比，日活跃地址仍在上升。在2022年的前三个季度，该指标平均每天约为100万，但在2021年的前三个季度，每天为58.4万。2022年第三季度的平均数比一年前的同期增长了约70%。
活动似乎也在8月底达到了一个拐点。下降的趋势，随后的拐点，同时也超过了长期的平均水平，可能表明一个基础的用户群正在形成。
日均独立地址活动进一步提供了达到基础用户群的证据，该指标在季度内持平。在第二季度，该指标飙升，主要是由于大量的Terra用户迁移到BNB链。由于Terra的崩溃是一个特殊事件，它不一定能推动一个可持续的基础用户群。然而，BNB Chain在没有任何此类事件的情况下，成功地保持了类似的新独立地址水平，从而指向了一个基础用户群。
用户和交易活动的基础将推动可靠的收入和价值累积到网络。即便如此，也很难确定收入和网络价值之间关系的确切性质。网络价值是否主要由更多的用户和交易或更高的交易费驱动？还是由通货紧缩机制驱动？理想情况下，更多的用户和交易，尽管交易费用较低，将推动收入上升并代表基本的价值累积。这种情况将比由更高的交易费或投机价值驱动的收入所产生的价值更具有可持续性。
为此，BNB Chain的收入和网络价值继续是相关的，因为收入的波动和每日的趋势通常伴随着网络价值的变动。
虽然本季度的收入下降了41%，部分原因是平均交易费用的下降（-19%），但网络价值却增加了29%。从这个角度来看，第二季度末的全面摊薄价值（FDV）是季度总收入的300倍，而第三季度末则是700倍。从估值的角度来看，这种关系也与市盈率的增加相一致。
部分价值的增加可能来自于从网络的流通供应中烧掉一部分交易费。然而，只有~1%的循环供应在季度内被燃烧。
因此，价值的增加来自投机或其他来源，如Binance CEX或其他链外用户推动对BNB代币的需求。
生态系统和开发者概述
尽管如此，像用户和交易活动这样的基本要素仍然可以产生更多的收入，从而产生网络价值。在BNB Chain的案例中，这种价值的累积也会因通货紧缩机制而得到加强。推动BNB链的基本活动的因素包括其生态系统、开发者参与和增长战略。
DeFi
在第三季度，BNB Chain是唯一经历了美元增长的L1公司之一。以美元计算，其TVL增长了大约11%，但以BNB计算则下降了15%。这一差异表明，BNB的美元价格升值推动了TVL的增长，除BNB之外的资产被用于DeFi。
促使美元升值的一个重要因素是包裹式BNB（WBNB）和几个液体押注解决方案。
在第三季度，BNB Chain通过三个平台实施了液体盯盘。Ankr, Stader, 和pStake。接近8月底时，液体抵押加速了，主要是在Ankr上。Ankr上的TVL在本季度从600万美元增长到约1亿美元。虽然该协议满足了对液体赌注日益增长的需求，但它也膨胀了以美元表示的TVL。
例如，TVL最初是由Ankr上的BNB押注来计算的。在Ankr上押注的BNB本质上是通过创造另一种等值的新资产（如WBNB）来释放资本，该资产可用于在另一个协议上产生收益。如果新的资产被部署在另一个协议上，TVL也被计算在那里，从而增加其整体的TVL。这实质上相当于重复计算TVL。只是必须认识到，TVL的变化并不总是纯粹使用BNB这样的原生代币的结果。此外，液体押注允许用户的灵活性，可以用来引导DeFi协议的流动性。
总的来说，在第三季度末，有40.6万个BNB在三个盯盘平台上被盯盘。换句话说，大约0.25%的BNB总供应量，或约1.17亿美元，被用来在整个生态系统中开辟更多的使用和流动性。
BNB Chain最突出的协议，PancakeSwap，在TVL、流动性和交易量方面都是季度持平。同时，PancakeSwap的主导地位有所下降，这表明大部分的流动性赌注活动被重新定向，TVL大多在较小或较年轻的协议中增长。
然而，主导地位的转变可以被视为BNB Chain的一个积极指标。BNB Chain的TVL一直大量集中在PancakeSwap，它持有BNB Chain的DeFi TVL大约45%。如果该应用因漏洞或技术故障而崩溃，可能会大大阻碍BNB Chain的生态系统。
为此，BNB Chain社区继续实施战略，以增长和分散整个DeFi的TVL，如引入液体抵押。在第三季度，液体抵押允许TVL流入并引导新的协议，如Wombat Exchange和Helio Protocol。这两个DeFi协议在本季度经历了显著的增长，促进了整个生态系统中TVL的多样化。
此外，BNB Chain继续利用其10亿美元的生态系统基金来寻找、投资并与DeFi领域的创新项目合作。BNB Chain还在第二季度末宣布了MVB V加速器项目，以帮助项目开发工作产品。第三季度，在650多个申请者中，有27个项目被选中加入加速器计划。被选中的几个项目与DeFi有关，但也在开发DeFi以外的应用，特别是在BNB Chain不断增长的NFT和GameFi领域。
NFTs
虽然处于下降趋势，但NFT二手房的总销售量按季度增长了6%。宏观力量可能使第三季度的销售量停滞不前，但独特的买家仍然超过了卖家。
推动BNB链上NFT活动当前和未来潜在增长的例子可以归结为。
◉ 元素NFT市场的成功。
◉ NFT聚合器Rareboard的发展。
◉ 通过Corite销售NFT藏品。
◉ LiveArtX全球100强联合倡议。
◉ 生态系统增长基金和加速器计划的战略投资。
最终，BNB Chain在NFT领域的战略和地位正在加强。今年仍然是BNB Chain NFT部门的突破年，该部门相对于以二级NFT总销售量计算的顶级L1的同行而言，已经建立了强大的地位。
GameFi
GameFi显然正处于催化整个加密货币空间的活动浪潮的边缘。同样明显的是，像以太坊、BNB Chain、Solana、Avalanche和其他网络正在战略性地走向发展GameFi生态系统。
第三季度标志着BNB Chain游戏应用的持续牵引，如 “Era7: Game of Truth “和 “X World Games”。它还将用户吸引到 “Tiny Worlds “和新游戏，如 “Gameta”、”Monsterra “和其他一系列新游戏。因此，源于GameFi生态系统的每日活跃用户和交易活动的数量继续呈上升趋势。
就像液体赌注给DeFi领域带来的活动一样，BNB Chain的第一个Soulbound Token（SBT）的引入也给GameFi领域带来了活动。SBTs是不可转让的代币。这带来了一种责任感，即代币代表相关的Web3凭证，可以始终归属于某个地址。
第三季度推出的第一个SBT是基于Binance账户（BAB）的代币。BAB实际上证明了用户在Binance上的验证状态，可供第三方协议使用。该代币只能由相关用户撤销或取消，因为它是一种独特的代币，只有在完成了解你的客户（KYC）标准后才能被铸造出来。
在整个第三季度，向BAB代币持有人提供了许多独家优惠，其中许多是在GameFi空间提供的。这些激励措施吸引了用户参与游戏，包括 “X世界游戏 “和 “微小世界”，等等。BAB代币及其激励措施在整个GameFi生态系统的活动中是显而易见的。
最终，BNB Chain在GameFi领域的战略和地位是强大的。随着SBT的使用和生态系统增长基金和加速器计划的继续部署，可以预计GameFi将继续在BNB Chain上蓬勃发展。
发展
以独特的智能合约验证来衡量的开发者参与度还没有赶上在NFT和GameFi领域看到的进展。智能合约验证是由开发人员触发的，将代码翻译成更高级别的语言。这项措施与活跃地址和交易活动指标的季度模式相似，季度总数下降了21%。
在以前的报告中，核心开发人员的参与是通过数据源跟踪BNB Chain GitHub仓库中的事件来衡量的。这些数据表明，在过去的几个季度里，核心开发是不重要的。
然而，目前关于开发者数据的数据源并不完善，因为它们存在于今天。不是所有的提交都是平等的。数据源的工作方式是对不同仓库的GitHub事件进行原始测量，导致对核心开发者活动的描述不完整。
最近发布的技术路线图包括了有关核心开发者活动的进展，未来的报告将旨在通过更可靠的数据来源和方法来评估这些活动，以获得准确的测量结果。
赌注和权力下放概述
尽管经历了动荡的第二季度，网络的赌注和分散化仍然稳定。在过去的一年里，BNB Chain上的平均参与股份（投票权股份除以总供应量）稳定在11%左右。这种稳定性在一定程度上缓解了网络价值的波动。
虽然平均股权总额相对没有变化，但到第三季度末，进一步去中心化和增加网络抗审查能力的实施开始展开。BNB Chain延续了第二季度在Euler Hardfork和BEP-131中取得的进展。BEP-131将候选验证器引入BNB智能链，以提高网络的稳健性。因此，活跃的验证器集在第三季度从21个增长到23个。
在第三季度，吉布斯升级和BEP-153的发布是基于第二季度的努力。该版本通过一个新的钉子系统合同实现了对BNB智能链的钉子支持。BEP-131和153将共同继续促进活跃验证者集的增长，使更多的网络参与，从而催化更多的股权分配。
BNB Chain的平均中本聪系数在过去一年中一直保持稳定，在第三季度末增加到8。与普遍的看法相反，该网络的验证器没有一个是由Binance运行的。八个验证器，包括HashQuark和Certik等独立第三方运行的验证器，对网络总股份的贡献仅低于~33%。
尽管有关于小验证人集的批评，BNB Chain并不是一个关于去中心化的异类。它的中本聪系数为8，属于行业中值。尽管如此，BNB Chain应该继续提高其去中心化程度，因为它通过扩大验证人集合和股权分配来实现更大的安全性和网络可靠性。
竞争分析
BNB Chain是一个以太坊的替代品，自成立以来，见证了它的高增长。它已经成功地保持了其作为最有价值的L1网络之一的地位。在整个第三季度，BNB Chain的关键指标与前五大EVM兼容链相比保持良好。这个同行小组是通过简单地将拥有最大的TVL和最大数量的DeFi协议的EVM链分组而得出的。
BNB Chain的估值在整个季度内稳步上升。以太坊、BNB Chain和Polygon在本季度重新获得了市值支配地位，因为它们都经历了两位数的百分比增长。在价值累积方面，Fantom继续挣扎。
随着平均交易费用和每日交易的减少，BNB Chain的每日收入呈下降趋势。同行（减去以太坊）经历了类似的收入趋势，因为平均交易费用以及每日交易量降低。有趣的是，以太坊的平均交易量上升了，但交易费用按季度下降了，给该协议的收入带来了下行压力。
在本季度，BNB Chain的P/S比率的增长速度比大多数同行要慢。P/S的变化衡量了一个协议的收入，并给出了处理交易的数量和成本的感觉。由于BNB Chain的价值变化是上升的，其交易活动给收入带来了下行压力，因此与以太坊相比，BNB的单位收入变得稍微昂贵。
虽然在本季度处于下降趋势，但BNB Chain的日交易量达到了比以太坊和Polygon更高的基础水平。以太坊稳定在每天约120万笔交易，但BNB Chain平均约350万笔。
第三季度加密货币DeFi市场表现平平，以美元计算的总TVL开始和结束时约为540亿美元。如前所述，BNB Chain是仅有的几家TVL出现美元增长的L1s之一。它的TVL以美元计算增长，但以BNB计算下降了15%。这一结果表明，BNB的美元价格升值推动了TVL的增长，而像WBNB这样的新资产被用于DeFi。
2022年仍然是BNB连锁店NFT部门的突破年。NFT的二级销售量和独特的NFT买家都成倍地增长。在第三季度，BNB Chain在日销售量方面迅速超过了Ronin、Flow和Polygon。BNB Chain吸引独特买家的路径与二级销售的模式相同。
尽管以太坊仍然主导着大约80%的二级NFT市场，但BNB Chain在第三季度末保持了稳定的销售量水平。
定性分析
生态系统增长的关键事件、催化剂和战略
尽管不利的市场环境仍在继续，但BNB Chain的扩张战略和网络升级在整个第三季度都在推进。欧拉和吉布斯的升级扩大了验证人的范围，促进了股权的更大分配。增长基金、加速器项目资源和SBT激励措施都针对NFT和GameFi领域。
除了这些努力之外，BNB产业链战略的其他方面也超越了扩大网络基础设施、DeFi、NFT和GameFi。在整个第三季度，还有一些辅助性的催化剂和战略在发挥作用。虽然不是相互排斥，但可以归纳为四个关键领域。
◉ 技术 – 改善功能。
◉ 用户体验–以更大的用户可及性和体验吸引用户。
◉ 生态系统扩展–通过新的用例来增长，包括社会应用和公共产品。
◉ 社区–通过社区建设获得开发者并推动采用。
技术
在第二季度，BNB Chain宣布了一个技术路线图，在主网上部署了重要的更新。除了关于进一步去中心化的努力，其他的更新旨在加快交易速度，增加容量，开发侧链，以及Zk-rollup技术。
为了这些目的，该团队在第三季度取得了进展。BNB Chain客户端的1.1.12版本于7月发布。这个性能版本包含了改善网络容量的功能，有两种类型的节点可以充分利用不同的存储。它还启用了一个新的标志来修剪不需要的区块数据以节省空间。
此外，该团队还分享了关于BNB ZkRollup的细节，这是一个 “无信任和扩展的BSC解决方案”。经过几个月的测试，zkBNB测试网上线了，并在第三季度开源了。
此外，Godel硬分叉的激活区块在9月到来。这次升级从BNB信标链中移除DEX功能，以释放计算能力。它还允许开发人员专注于提高安全性，增加未来的计算能力，并引入新的治理能力。
用户体验
除了使网络功能更强大之外，第三季度的中心工作是开发改善用户和开发者体验的方法。在开发者方面，NodeReal宣布支持BNB Chain。它是一个开发者平台，也为Ethereum、Polygon、Optimism和Aptos提供基础设施服务和工具包。
在用户方面，Space ID宣布完成了由Binance Labs领投的种子轮融资，将.bnb域名服务引入BNB Chain生态系统。
生态系统扩展
很明显，DeFi部门从液体赌注中获得了火花，NFT和GameFi部门通过战略投资和激励措施得到了推动。然而，在这一季度，生态系统增长的其他途径也得到了追求。
9月，BNB产业链社区宣布了一项协同努力，以优先建立 “公共产品”。公共产品是由生态系统的大多数参与者使用的一系列产品和服务。它们被视为协议层的必要构件，如去中心化存储、跨链桥接、身份解决方案或钱包。BNB链上公共产品的发展可能会在未来催化更基本的网络使用和生态系统增长。
其他途径包括在SocialFi领域的建设。一些SocialFi应用，如Any DAO和Orange Protocol，也被选为MVB V孵化计划的一部分。此外，Hooked Protocol，一个建立连接网络以激发Web3社会参与的Web3社会协议，在第三季度末首次亮相并经历了牵引力。
此外，BNB Chain和谷歌云宣布他们的合作，以加速Web3的发展。 该战略伙伴关系将使早期的Web3和区块链初创企业在新的载体上开发和扩大可持续的创新。
社区
技术创新和生态系统的扩展需要社区。BNB Chain继续实施加强其社区的战略，在第三季度启动了两项关键举措。
BNB Chain宣布与拉丁美洲最大的在线学习社区之一Platzi合作，帮助学生学习Web3开发所需的技能。
另一项是启动BNB Chain倡导者计划。该计划旨在为社会网络中的创作者和意见领袖与BNB链之间搭建一座桥梁。
生态系统的挑战和未来之路
第三季度并没有出现任何源于技术挑战的不利结果。与其说是救火，不如说是BNB Chain的团队在2022年的技术路线图上成功整合了几个升级项目。
BNB Chain继续专注于帮助用户、项目和开发者连接到BNB Chain社区的进展。成功的方法包括:
◉ 执行增长战略和实施技术发展，如扩展解决方案。
◉ 提高吞吐量。
◉ 扩大验证器集。
正如整个加密货币领域的情况一样，实施ZK技术可能是BNB Chain及其BNB ZkRollup计划的最重大挑战。BNB Chain社区计划用类似L2的解决方案来扩展网络。其中包括推出用于高性能扩展的zk-rollups和用于更多可定制区块链解决方案的侧链。
继续采取有意的步骤来实现更大的去中心化。该团队开源了Beacon Chain的验证器集，并继续评估BNB智能链的选举期和当选验证器的不同方法。
正如所有的去中心化网络一样，进一步的去中心化会带来成长的痛苦。为此，网络的性能可能会受到压力。考虑到这一点，BNB Chain选择了Verichains作为安全合作伙伴，从BEP-153、BEP-131和BEP-126开始审核BSC主要的主网更新。
总结
在第三季度，用户活动恢复到长期平均水平，并在一个拐点后趋于稳定。这种在熊市中的用户行为可能表明BNB Chain正在达到一个基本的用户基础。
尽管有持续的阻力，该网络的采用任务仍在继续。BNB Chain继续改善其网络功能，推出了zkBNB测试网和一系列的网络升级。这些升级也导致了BNB智能链上的押注和一个更广泛的验证器集。
通过战略投资、流动赌注解决方案和基于Binance账户（BAB）代币的激励措施，继续努力扩大生态系统。流动赌注解决方案为DeFi的美元增长做出了重大贡献。由此带来的增长促进了整个生态系统中TVL的进一步多样化。
BNB Chain在NFT领域的地位正在加强。这仍然是该网络在NFT领域的突破性的一年。该网络在GameFi领域的地位也很强。随着SBT的使用和生态系统增长基金和加速器计划的部署，BNB链上的GameFi应该有能力继续蓬勃发展。
随着网络激励活跃的验证者的增长，并促进更多的股权分配，BNB链的去中心化可望继续改善。
挑战仍然摆在面前，ZK技术是最困难的一个。随着网络继续向更大的去中心化迈进，其性能也可能受到压力。
尽管如此，BNB Chain有强大的技术计划和坚实的战略，以发展其跨越新老领域的生态系统。如果它能成功执行，该网络可以保持其在L1竞赛中的地位，成为市场上最有价值的网络之一。
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