关键观点
◉ 9月23日,第11次协议升级正式上线。下一次协议升级,预计在第四季度中旬,将引入智能合约优化滚动(SCORU)。核心开发人员的主要重点仍然是扩展。
◉ 总的来说,第三季度全网活动减少,但NFT销售量(XTZ)除外,它创下历史新高。
◉ NFT市场继续领先,代表了活跃用户的前四大应用。
◉ 在WebAssembly(WASM)执行环境推出之前,新的智能合约部署创造了历史新高。
关于Tezos的简单介绍
Tezos是一个依靠低功耗和高能效共识的流动收购证明(LPoS)区块链网络。它将链上治理与自我修正功能相结合,以实现无桩网络升级和管理未来的变化。Tezos支持多种智能合约语言,有一个强大的NFT生态系统,并通过EVM和WASM兼容的滚动和数据可用性层的改进进行扩展。
性能分析
财务概览

第二季度是过去十年来加密货币市场最糟糕的一个季度,加密货币市场总市值下降了58%。多个看跌事件同时发生,包括Terra LUNA崩溃,3AC破产,俄乌战争升级,以及美联储的鹰派。Tezos也未能幸免于这场大屠杀,按市值计算损失了61%的价值。
在第三季度,Tezos通过31%的熊市反弹挽回了部分损失。然而,由于央行持续的鹰派言论,这种反弹是短暂的。最终,Tezos在本季度结束时接近开盘水平。
与XTZ代币有关的内部指标是一致的,而以收入为中心的指标则大幅下降。在第三季度,Tezos的收入为19.1万美元(环比下降60%),流通的P/S比率为2,181倍。受欢迎的交易费用下降(58%)主要推动了收入的下降和交易量的小幅下降(6%)。作为比较,Avalanche第三季度的收入为230万美元,流通的P/S比率为665倍,Polkadot(特别是Polkadot Relay Chain)的收入为11.5万美元,流通的P/S比率为19,945倍。按照传统的标准,这些基础层中的每一个都有糟糕的指标。以收入为中心的糟糕指标与高估值相搭配,突出了评估底层协议的困难。
XTZ是Tezos生态系统的原生代币,它有4.5%的平均年化膨胀率,没有最大供应量。XTZ也有多种烧毁机制,包括:在创建新的Tezos账户时,在创建新的智能合约时,在分配额外的智能合约存储时,以及在验证者失误时进行削减。代币的烧毁是故意的,没有实质意义;相反,它们的存在是为了抑制网络垃圾邮件和验证人的错误。到2022年,Tezos平均每月烧掉73,000XTZ(相当于每月新铸币供应的2%和总供应的0.01%)。
网络概况
总的来说,第三季度整个网络的活动减少。下降的情况分散在DeFi、游戏和NFT领域(更多内容见生态系统和发展部分)。从2022年的整体来看,网络使用量保持良好,而与账户相关的指标则稳步下降。网络活动的保持与用户的减少相搭配,表明活跃用户在网络上非常活跃。
尽管如此,在第三季度,整体账户活动有所下降。被清空的账户,定义为被清空的账户,下降到2021年开始以来的最低水平。清空账户的减少是一个净利好,因为它表明离开网络的人越来越少。
同时,新创建的账户减少到2021年开始以来的最低水平。总体而言,在过去七个季度中,新创建的账户有六个减少。在分析新账户创建时,有一些关键点需要注意。首先,所有在Tezos上创建的新账户必须支付少量的一次性费用,通常在0.25美元左右。该费用的存在是为了阻止人们通过创建多个新账户来破坏网络。此外,如果有人第一次获得Tezos资产,如NFT,但没有创建一个账户,他们将被排除在这个数据集之外。在评估跨生态系统的账户活动时,这些是需要考虑的重要因素。
与账户相关指标不同,由智能合约调用和交易组成的网络使用量一直很稳定。智能合约调用被定义为从终端用户钱包到智能合约的直接调用。交易被定义为代币转移。
在网络的大部分时间里,智能合约调用是总活动的一小部分。然而,从2021年第一季度开始,智能合约调用开始迅速增加。他们从每月不到10万次到2022年1月高峰时的360万次。这种上升始于第一个NFT平台Hic et Nunc的推出,并随着随后Tezos NFT牛市的到来而持续。相对而言,交易量一直很稳定。通过2022年的熊市,Tezos平均每月有130万笔交易,比2021年的牛市增加了25%。总体而言,在2022年期间,网络活动相对平稳,这可以说是熊市期间的一个净利好。
6月,Tezos在雅加达升级期间发布了交易优化卷(TORU)。TORU是通过卷积进行扩展的第一步。作为一个漫长的路线图中的第一个产品发布,TORU是特意简化的,只允许交换资产。因此,预计采用率极低,因此,网络活动预计不会增加。在L-upgrade中即将发布的智能合约优化卷(SCORU)应该会启动活动。SCORUs将通过支持智能合约的执行和引入WebAssembly(WASM)的执行环境,极大地扩展卷积能力。
生态系统和开发者概述
第三季度,重申一下,整个网络的活动基本减少。然而,在评估不同部门时,我们发现结果不一。
考虑到活跃用户,NFT市场平台继续占主导地位。在第三季度,按活跃用户计算,NFT市场占前四名的应用,每周约有11,000名独特的活跃用户(占整个网络活跃用户的75%)。Objkt是占主导地位的市场,占所有活跃用户的40%。DeFi的存在是第二大的,有三个应用,其次是游戏,有两个。总体而言,在第三季度,三个部门的活跃用户都有所下降。
尽管有熊市和用户的下降,NFT销售量(XTZ)连续第六个季度增长,再次达到历史最高水平。从2021年初开始,随着Hic et Nunc的推出,NFT生态系统经历了稳定的增长,出现了新的市场和著名的合作伙伴,如曼联、甲骨文、红牛赛车、迈凯轮赛车、活力团队、Gap、Papa Johns、依云水、育碧、CCP游戏、LVMH Guerlain等等。尽管缺乏活动和激励措施,但数量的持续增长表明目前的增长是有机的,用户可能会继续使用该网络。
尽管强劲且不断增长,Tezos NFT活动仍然以很大的幅度落后于领先的连锁店Ethereum和Solana。在第三季度,以太坊注册了150万独立的NFT买家,Solana注册了120万独立买家,而Tezos上有85000名活跃的交易者。
Tezos在2022年第三季度结束时,TVL约为4000万美元。如果与2021年第三季度相比,TVL从1.62亿美元下降了76%。领先的DeFi应用提供多样化的服务,包括。
流动性烘烤:在协议层面补贴的流动性池子
◉ Youves:一个合成资产协议
◉ Kolibri:一个稳定币协议
◉ QuipuSwap:一个DEX
◉ Plenty DeFi:一个DEX
总的来说,Tezos TVL在生态系统中大约排名第50位。
根据年度电力资本开发者报告,Tezos被列为最大的开发者生态系统之一。尽管有熊市,Tezos的开发者活动(以新的智能合约部署衡量)在第三季度创造了29000个新的智能合约部署的历史新高。总体而言,到2022年前三个季度,新的智能合约部署比去年同期增加了189%。
今天,Tezos智能合约在Michelson虚拟机上执行。该虚拟机是相对高级的,功能性的,静态类型的。应用程序开发人员通常使用几种智能合约语言之一,如SmartPy、JSLIGO、Archetype和其他。
在即将到来的L-upgrade中,Tezos将发布智能合约优化卷轴(SCORU),该卷轴超越了Michelson,支持WebAssembly(WASM)和Ethereum虚拟机(EVM)等环境。通过支持新环境,Tezos将支持几种流行的编程语言,如C++、Rust和Solidity。新的环境和支持的语言应导致开发的进一步增加,以及从其他网络迁移的应用程序。
去中心化和抵押品概述
在第三季度,去中心化和质押指标保持一致。活跃的验证人的数量相对稳定,而他们的质押却减少了。同时,活跃的委托人的数量和委托人的股份达到了历史最高水平。总的来说,与权力下放和质押有关的指标的一致性表明了一个正常和健康的生态系统。
Tezos的验证者,被称为烘焙师,很好地分散在全球各地。在第三季度,活跃的验证者存在于40个国家,其中美国、瑞士、法国和加拿大的存在感最强。核心开发团队的成员表示,他们希望增加Tezos在非洲、印度和南美的存在。
与全球分布的验证器集相反,验证器的股权分布是头重脚轻。前五大验证者,Coinbase、Binance、Kraken、Everstake和Pos Dog,确保了网络总股份的36%。此外,Tezos基金会控制着七个验证者,占总股份的12%。由于验证人股权分布的高度集中,Tezos的中本聪系数为5。中本聪系数为11-13,然而,伊萨卡的升级引入了新的共识算法,Tenderbake,实施了BFT共识格式,需要三分之二的验证者签字才能使链子进步。向安全而非速度的转变降低了中本聪系数,但它仍然在行业平均水平的范围内。
伊萨卡的升级还引入了多种验证器的改进,包括将最低验证器要求从8000XTZ减少到6000XTZ,增加奖励,并改进功能。尽管有了这些更新,与验证人有关的指标还是滞后了。活跃的验证人的数量相对稳定,而他们的股份却减少了。
与停滞不前的验证人指标相反,委托人指标已经稳步提高。自2021年第一季度以来,活跃委托人的数量平均季度增长了9%。活跃的委托人股权以较慢的速度增长,季度增长1.5%,这表明新的委托人委托的金额较小。委托人正在赚取名义上6%的年化投注收益。
自2021年初以来,总供应量的质押比例一直保持在74-79%的范围内。大约80%的总质押来自于委托人,而且这个比例越来越大。
Tezos使用的是流动收购证明(LPoS)机制。LPoS共识与通常使用的Delegated Proof-of-Stake(DPoS)共识不同。在LPoS机制中,委托人可以参与共识而不放弃对其代币的保管。因此,委托的股权是完全流动的。有很大比例的质押代币是流动的,这对网络有利,因为流动的代币可以被重复使用。
定性分析
战略与展望

3月,Tezos的核心贡献者Nomadic Labs宣布,”2022年是Tezos的扩展年”。从那时起,Tezos网络已经升级了三次。Tezos的forkless升级、链上治理和自我修正功能使网络得以不断发展。
伊萨卡
伊萨卡的升级是在2022年4月1日实施的。当时,这是Tezos历史上最大的升级,因为它将网络过渡到一个新的共识算法Tenderbake。这次升级堪比以太坊的合并,具有强烈的挑战性。该团队将其比作 “在汽车运行时更换发动机”。Ithaca的升级引入了几个新的功能,包括﹕
◉ 转向快速、确定性的最终结果(大约一分钟)。
◉ 通过实施BFT共识格式,向安全而非活泼的方向转变,其中三分之二的验证者需要签字才能使链子前进。
◉ 大量的验证器更新,包括减少节点操作要求,增加奖励和改进功能。
Tenderbake,新的共识算法,是通过改善延迟和最终性来扩展Tezos的第一步。然而,它并没有改善网络吞吐量。
雅加达
2022年6月29日,为了改善网络吞吐量,Tezos发布了Jakarta,第十次协议升级。雅加达引入了交易优化滚动(TORUs),这是一个实验性的解决方案,旨在在短期内进行扩展,并帮助生态系统的基础设施适应滚动的需要。虽然TORUs允许交换资产,但它们不允许执行智能合约。
此外,TORU,以及最终所有的滚动,都内置于Tezos链中,即所谓的嵌入式滚动。这与基于Ethereum的滚动不同,后者是以智能合约的形式实现的。由于网络的自我修正能力,在Tezos上有可能实现预埋的滚动。与基于智能合约的滚动相比,固定滚动的好处包括减少安全漏洞,降低存储成本,增加去中心化,以及与网络的其他部分一起进行无障碍升级。
加德满都
2022年9月23日,第11次协议升级加德满都正式上线。加德满都的升级包括流水线区块验证,可验证的延迟功能,智能合约的事件记录,以及对永久测试网络的支持。然而,它并没有引入额外的扩展功能。这将在L-upgrade中以智能合约优化滚动(SCORU)的形式出现,计划在2022年底。

L-Upgrade
目前,智能合约优化升级(SCORU)正在Tezos测试网络上进行测试。它们的设计具有通用的结构,超越了Michelson,支持WebAssembly(WASM)和Ethereum虚拟机(EVM)等环境。通过支持新的环境,Tezos将支持一些流行的编程语言,如C++、Rust和Solidity,从而允许更大的开发者社区在网络上构建。Tezos将首先专注于支持WebAssembly。
总结
在经历了历史性的第二季度后,第三季度的火爆程度大大降低。更广泛的加密货币市场反弹了36%。但最终,由于央行的持续鹰派,市场完全回缩。总体而言,Tezos的主要业绩指标产生了混合结果。
总的来说,Tezos的金融和网络活动有一个负面的季度。活跃账户总数和新账户总数都连续第三个季度下降。DeFi、游戏和NFT部门都出现了账户指标的减少。总交易量和智能合约调用量也出现了环比下降。网络活动的减少导致了交易费用的大幅下降,最终导致收入减少了60%。
然而,也有一线生机。NFT销售量(以XTZ计算)连续第六个季度增长,并再次创下历史新高。NFT活动仍然是整个网络增长的最大引擎。按活跃用户计算,前四大应用是NFT市场,占总活跃用户的75%。在熊市和缺乏激励的情况下,NFT销售的持续存在表明Tezos NFT生态系统的有机活动。
与订金和分散化有关的指标是一致的。自2021年初以来,总供应量的押注比例一直保持在74-79%的范围内,其中约80%来自委托人。与去中心化和押注有关的指标的一致性指向了一个正常运作和健康的生态系统。
展望未来,Tezos核心开发人员的重点将是扩大网络规模。伊萨卡的升级引入了一种新的共识算法,改善了延迟和最终性。雅加达的升级引入了交易优化卷积。即将到来的L升级预计将引入智能合约优化卷积。以卷积为中心的升级正在扩大Tezos的吞吐量。在Tezos扩展的同时,网络继续吸引流动性和用户是最重要的。
尽管在熊市中,Tezos的NFT活动一直在持续。然而,它仍然以很大的幅度落后于领先的生态系统。DeFi活动仍然相对较小,在基础层中排名第50位;这一领域的竞争正变得越来越激烈。如果Tezos想成为主导的生态系统,它将面临一场艰苦的战斗。
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